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National Poll from Convention of States Action and The Trafalgar Group Offers Insights on Biden Approval, Trump 2024 Prospects, and GOP Preferences if Trump Doesn’t Run—Pro Trump Republicans Prefer DeSantis, Cruz While Anti-Trumpers Like Romney, Haley
(Austin, TX—May 12th, 2021) Convention of States Action, in partnership with The Trafalgar Group—one of America’s most accurate pollsters in 2016, 2018 and 2020—is releasing the results of a new national survey. Conducted from April 27th to May 3rd, the poll of 1,500 likely 2022 general election voters has a margin of error of 2.9%. The survey reveals voters’ views on the president's job approval, various national issues, and provides insight into how the 2024 presidential primaries are shaping up.
“Republican voters clearly support anti-establishment candidates and a Trump run in 2024. If President Trump doesn’t run, voters widely prefer Governor Ron DeSantis. Both men represent a return to Constitutional principles, common sense leadership, and the courage to stand against Washington, DC,” said Mark Meckler, President of Convention of States Action. “In contrast, there is little support for the inside-the-beltway Republicans who are providing tepid opposition to Biden’s far-left agenda.”
For a complete details on the poll, including graphics for each question, please visit: https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/news/cosa-nat-poll-0521
Americans are Evenly Divided on President Biden’s Job Performance with 48.3% Approving While 47.5% Disapprove
- 35.8% of Americans strongly approve of Biden’s performance
- 12.5% of Americans approve of Biden’s performance
- 41.9% of Americans strongly disapprove of Biden’s performance
- 5.6% of Americans disapprove of Biden’s performance
Republican Voters Strongly Support a Trump Presidential Run
- 49.1% of Republican voters would absolutely vote for Trump
- 12.4% of Republican voters would likely vote for Trump
- 7.8% of Republican would consider voting for Trump
- 3.4% of Republican voters are unlikely to vote for Trump
- 20.7% of Republican voters are very unlikely to vote for Trump
If Trump Doesn’t Run, Pro-Trump Republican Voters Widely Support Gov. DeSantis in 2024
- 47.6% of Pro-Trump Republican voters would support Gov. Ron DeSantis
- 20.4% of Pro-Trump Republican voters would support Sen. Ted Cruz
- 12.0% of Pro-Trump Republican voters would support former Vice President Mike Pence
- 9.9% of Pro-Trump Republican voters would support someone else
- 4.7% of Pro-Trump Republican voters would support Gov. Nikki Haley
If Trump Doesn’t Run, Republican Voters Overall Support Gov. DeSantis Over Any Other Republican
- 34.9% of Republican voters would support Gov. Ron DeSantis
- 15.3% of Republican voters would support Sen. Ted Cruz
- 10% of Republican voters would support former Vice President Mike Pence
- 10% of Republican voters would support Sen. Mitt Romney
- 6% of Republican voters would support Nikki Haley
Among Anti-Trump Republican voters, Senator Mitt Romney and Governor Nikki Haley Lead the Pack
- 36.1% of Anti-Trump Republican voters would support Mitt Romney
- 6.9% of Anti-Trump Republican voters would support Gov. Nikki Haley
- 5.6% of Anti-Trump Republican voters would support Sen. Ted Cruz
- 5.6% of Anti-Trump Republican voters would support Former Vice President Mike Pence
- 4.2% of Anti-Trump Republican voters would support Gov. Ron DeSantis
Democrat Voters Strongly Support a Biden Re-election in 2024
- 36.7% of Democrat voters would absolutely vote for President Biden
- 20.7% of Democrat voters would likely vote for President Biden
- 7.9% of Democrat voters would consider voting for President Biden
- 5.2% of Democrat voters are unlikely to to vote for President Biden
- 16.9% of Democrat voters are very unlikely to vote for President Biden
If President Biden Does Not Seek Re-election, Democrat Voters Strongly Support Vice President Kamala Harris in 2024
- 41.3% of Democrat voters would support Vice President Kamala Harris
- 9.3% of Democrat voters would support Mayor Pete Buttigieg
- 8.0% of Democrat voters would support Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
- 5.4% of Democrat voters would support Sen. Amy Klobuchar
- 4.2% of Democrat voters would support Rep. Beto O’Rourke
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About Convention of States Action—Boasting a grassroots network of over 5 million supporters and volunteers, Convention of States’ mission is to restore a culture of self-governance in America and to curtail federal overreach. Its primary focus in accomplishing this mission is using a limited Article V Convention to propose constitutional amendments that impose limitations on the size and scope of the federal government, including a balanced budget requirement and term limits for federal officials.
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