(South Carolina) – The Trafalgar Group (TFG), recognized for having the most accurate South Carolina polling in the 2016 GOP primary and general election as well as nationally in battleground states and Electoral College projection, conducted a month-long survey from November 29th to December 23rd, measuring South Carolina voters’ support for the Convention of States proposal.
Voters were asked about their initial reaction to a Convention of States, then polled separately on their views of congressional term limits, federal spending limits, and limiting federal power. After being confronted with these individual issues, voters were asked again about a Convention of States relating to these particular issues.
The survey, commissioned by Convention of States Action, is the most extensive survey done in South Carolina thus far relating to these issues and the 2018 gubernatorial election. It included over 2170 respondents from a random stratified selection of likely 2018 general election and primary voters. The margin of error is +/- 2.10.
Convention of States Initial Favorability
42.76% Favor
24.87% Oppose
32.38% Undecided
Convention of States Post-Explanation Favorability
65.08% Favor
19.13% Oppose
15.79% Undecided
Commenting on the survey, Convention of States Action President Mark Meckler said, “With so many states having acted already, this polling now demonstrates that it is time for the South Carolina legislature to act on the Convention of States resolution immediately. The excuse of alleged ‘division’ among constituents has been definitively laid to rest. The vast majority are in favor. The burden is now squarely on the legislature to act quickly and decisively to be the first state in 2018 to make the call.”
Robert Cahaly, Senior Strategist and Pollster at The Trafalgar Group said, "This survey confirms what we expected.The Convention of States questions demonstrate that frustration with the way Washington does business has resulted in a growing number of Palmetto state voters embracing constitutional remedies that go around congress for needed reform."
Cahaly also stated, “Based on these numbers I wouldn't be too surprised, in an election year, to see the South Carolina General Assembly pass the Conventions of States call and join the majority of Southern states already on board with this movement.”
The twelve states that have already passed applications are Georgia, Florida, Alaska, Alabama, Indiana, Tennessee, Louisiana, Oklahoma, North Dakota, Arizona, Missouri, and Texas.
Representative Bill Taylor (R - Aiken), who is the primary sponsor of the Conventions of States bill in the South Carolina State House said, '“When two-thirds of South Carolina voters favor reining in the out-of-control federal government, I call on my fellow legislators to heed that call and represent the citizens who elected them by voting to pass the Article V Convention of States Resolution.”
“With nearly 2,200 people surveyed, this is the most comprehensive poll ever done on the Article V issue and was conducted by the polling firm that has a track record of having the pulse of South Carolinians and getting it right.”
The Trafalgar Group is widely recognized as the most accurate polling firm of the 2016 election cycle, correctly forecasting the results in key battleground and other states (PA, FL, NC, MI, OH, CO, GA) and exactly predicting the Trump electoral college margin of victory (306-232). The results and information of their polls have been featured in thousands of U.S. and global news stories, television networks, and high-profile polling web sites like Real Clear Politics. Want to get involved in the Convention of States effort? Click the blue button below to learn more.
Want to join the Convention of States movement? Click the blue button below to learn more.
